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Samsara Inc (NYSE: IOT) Shares Rose Recently. However, Trouble May Still Be Lurking.

Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT) price closed higher on Friday, November 17, jumping 1.13% above its previous close.

A look at the daily price movement shows that the last close reads $26.58, with intraday deals fluctuated between $26.22 and $27.40. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $32.41 and 52-week low of $8.86. The stock added 15.71% on its value in the past month.

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Samsara Inc, which has a market valuation of $14.38 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Nov 30, 2023. Analysts tracking IOT have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 0.01 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $0.02 for the year 2023 and up to $0.07 for 2025. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of 115.40% for the year and 250.00% for the next year.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $224.73 million, with the likely lows of $224 million and highs of $229 million. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $898.76 million for the company’s annual revenue in 2024. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 37.70% above that which the company brought in 2024.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give IOT a short term outlook of Hold on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 50% Buy, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 100% Buy.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 13 analysts have assigned IOT a recommendation rating as follows: 6 rate it as a Hold; 7 advise Buy while 0 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the Samsara Inc (IOT) stock as Underweight, with 0 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

The overview shows that IOT’s price is at present 12.71% off the SMA20 and 7.63% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 61.67, with weekly volatility standing at 4.50%. The indicator jumps to 5.51% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT)’s beta value is holding at 1.46, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 1.37. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $25.00-$34.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $29.83. Based on this estimate, we see that current price is roughly 6.99% off the estimated low and -26.49% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $30.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level IOT would be -11.61% from current price.

An analysis of the Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 2.94 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.28 million.

Current records show that the company has 534.92M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 70.80% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 25.56%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Oct 30, 2023, stood at 16.13 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 7.84. From this we can glean that short interest is 3.02% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in October rose slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 15.5 million. But the 116.25% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of last trading, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.