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AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ: ASTS): Can’t Stop The Stock’s Slide?

AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ:ASTS) price closed lower on Monday, November 20, dropping -1.04% below its previous close.

A look at the daily price movement shows that the last close reads $4.83, with intraday deals fluctuated between $4.71 and $4.89. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 0.61. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $7.14 and 52-week low of $2.73. The stock added 63.14% on its value in the past month.

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AST SpaceMobile Inc, which has a market valuation of $427.67 million, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Nov 14, 2023. Analysts tracking ASTS have forecast the quarterly EPS to shrink by -0.21 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit -$0.81 for the year 2023 and up to -$0.85 for 2024. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of -39.70% for the year and -4.90% for the next year.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give ASTS a short term outlook of Hold on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 50% Buy.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 2 analysts have assigned ASTS a recommendation rating as follows: 0 rate it as a Hold; 1 advise Buy while 1 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) stock as Underweight, with 0 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

The overview shows that ASTS’s price is at present 27.30% off the SMA20 and 30.02% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 65.91, with weekly volatility standing at 10.17%. The indicator jumps to 9.00% when calculated based on the past 30 days. AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ:ASTS)’s beta value is holding at 0.80, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 0.35. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $15.00-$15.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $15.00. Based on this estimate, we see that current price is roughly -213.81% off the estimated low and -213.81% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $15.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level ASTS would be -213.81% from current price.

An analysis of the AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ:ASTS) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 1.80 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.9 million.

Current records show that the company has 89.47M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 11.93% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 33.91%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Oct 30, 2023, stood at 17.58 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 11.43. From this we can glean that short interest is 19.65% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in October fall slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 19.64 million. But the -0.83% downside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of last trading, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.