Does Carlyle Group Inc (NASDAQ: CG) Need To Rethink Its Strategy?

Carlyle Group Inc (NASDAQ:CG) price is hovering lower on Wednesday, March 27, dropping -0.02% below its previous close.

A look at today’s price movement shows that the recent level at last check reads $46.44. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.80. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $48.52 and 52-week low of $25.20. The stock added 3.59% on its value in the past month.

Carlyle Group Inc, which has a market valuation of $16.81 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report May 02, 2024 – May 06, 2024. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 1.40, while the dividend yield is 3.02%. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking CG have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 0.88 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $3.92 for the year 2024 and up to $4.57 for 2025. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of 21.00% for the year and 16.60% for the next year.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $942.57 million, with the likely lows of $874.39 million and highs of $1.01 billion. The average estimate suggests sales growth for the quarter will likely rise by 19.90% when compared to those recorded in the same quarter in the last financial year. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $4.11 billion for the company’s annual revenue in 2024. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 20.80% above that which the company brought in 2024.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give CG a short term outlook of 100% Buy on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 100% Buy, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 100% Buy.

The overview shows that CG’s price is at present 0.56% off the SMA20 and 6.08% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 56.60, with weekly volatility standing at 1.83%. The indicator jumps to 2.14% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Carlyle Group Inc (NASDAQ:CG)’s beta value is holding at 1.79, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 1.01.

An analysis of the Carlyle Group Inc (NASDAQ:CG) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 2.39 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 2.42 million.

Current records show that the company has 361.33M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 44.48% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 59.99%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Feb 29, 2024, stood at 17.04 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 6.5. From this we can glean that short interest is 4.71% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in February rose slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 14.46 million. But the 14.11% upside, the stock’s price has registered year-to-date as of today’s value, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.

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