Wayfair Inc (NYSE: W): Overvalued In Comparison To Others?

Wayfair Inc (NYSE:W) shares, rose in value on Thursday, April 04, with the stock price up by 4.20% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $65.03.

Actively observing the price movement in the recent trading, the stock is buoying the session at $62.41. The value of beta (5-year monthly) is 3.28. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $90.71, and the low was $29.51. On the whole, W has fluctuated by 7.81% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Wayfair Inc currently standing at about $7.83 billion, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for May 02, 2024. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be -$0.45, which is expected to increase to $1.31 for fiscal year $0.95 and then to about $2.1 by fiscal year 2025. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 184.10% in 2025, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 121.10%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $2.64 billion, with a low estimate of $2.61 billion and a high estimate of $2.69 billion. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump down -4.70%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2025, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $11.96 billion, representing a decrease of -0.30% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that W’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 100% Buy on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Buy while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 50% Buy.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of W currently trading nearly 3.27% and 13.22% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 56.84, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 4.27% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 4.55%. Furthermore, Wayfair Inc (W)’s beta value is 3.29, and its average true range (ATR) is 3.31.

A comparison of Wayfair Inc (W) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. W showed an intraday change of 4.20% in today’s session so far, and over the past year, it grew by 81.39%%.

Data on historical trading for Wayfair Inc (NYSE:W) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 3.58 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 4.30 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 92.46 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 28.70% of Wayfair Inc’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 86.16% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 21.5 million shares as on Mar 15, 2024, resulting in a short ratio of 4.82. According to the data, the short interest in Wayfair Inc (W) stood at 17.86% of shares outstanding as of Mar 15, 2024; the number of short shares registered in Feb 15, 2024 reached 20.24 million. The stock has risen by 5.40% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the W stock heading into the next quarter.