The Behavior Of Ontrak Inc (OTRK) Stock Is Not As Predictable As You Think

Ontrak Inc (NASDAQ:OTRK) concluded the trading at $0.39 on Friday, March 22, with a rise of 50.81% from its closing price on previous day.

Taking a look at stock we notice that its last check on previous day was $0.26 and 5Y monthly beta was reading 2.21. Considering stock’s 52-week price range provides that OTRK hit a high price of $4.08 and saw its price falling to a low level of $0.14 during that period. Over a period of past 1-month, stock came adding 97.04% in its value.

With its current market valuation of $10.81 million, Ontrak Inc is set to declare its quarterly results on Mar 25, 2024 – Mar 30, 2024. Analysts are in estimates of $0 per share for company’s earnings in the current quarter and are expecting its annual EPS growth moving up to $0 for 2022 with estimates of that growing to -$3.8 in next year.

Analysts watching the company’s growth closely have provided estimates for its revenue growth with an average revenue estimate of $2.51 million. They suggested that in the process company could generate revenue of as low as $3 million which could climb up to $3 million to hit a high. The average estimate is representing a decrease of -75.70% in sales growth from that of posted by the company in the same quarter of last year. In keeping analyst consensus estimate with, company is forecasted to be making an annual revenue of $14.51 million in 2022, which will be -82.70% less from revenue generated by the company last year.

In last 7 days, analysts came adjusting their opinions about stock’s EPS with no upward and no downward revisions, an indication which could give clearer idea about the company’s short term price movement. In contrast, when we review OTRK stock’s current outlook then short term indicators are assigning it an average of 50% Sell, while medium term indicators are categorizing the stock at an average of 50% Sell. Long term indicators are suggesting an average of 100% Sell for it.

Digging deeper we become aware of the PEG ratio of the OTRK stock which is currently positioned at 0. It further provides that stock’s current price level is 99.96% away from its 20-day simple moving average and is 85.38% off its SMA50. Its relative strength index (RSI) for 14-periods is oscillating at 65.09 while volatility remained at 43.94% over the past week which changes to 22.48% when measuring it over the past month. Beta is valued at 2.26, while measure of average true range or ATR is currently at 0.07.

Having a second look at Ontrak Inc (NASDAQ:OTRK) provides that stock’s average daily trading volume for 3 months was 4.38 million, while it jumped to 24.84 million when we calculate an average volume for past 10 days. Number of outstanding shares of the stock stood at 27.56 million.

The percentage of outstanding shares held by the insiders is 79.50% while it is 12.98% for the institutional holders. The figures also indicate that as of Feb 29, 2024, number of stock’s short shares was 0.1 million which implies a short ratio of 0.18. This shows up a 0.37% of Short Interest in company’s outstanding shares on the day. In February the standing of shares short improved as it was 60880.0 in the previous month. Subtraction of -2.22% by stock’s current price to its year-to-date value in last trading session is likely to be increasing investors’ interest in the stock as it is hinting an extended uptrend.

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